An improved algorithm for power system probabilistic production simulation based on equivalent interval frequency distribution

This paper continues to develop techniques for analyzing the production costs and system reliability based on the equivalent interval frequency distribution series (EIFDs). The module of generator units is modified into multi-block one to analog the economic load dispatch more practically. Considering the unit minimum output operating limits, the deconvolution is implemented in this paper. At the same time, the calculation formula of each unit output and system reliability such as EENS (Expected Energy Not Served) and LOLP (Loss of Load Probability) is also induced. Therefore, an improved algorithm for probabilistic production costing algorithm is presented to get a full result.