DocumentCode :
3589873
Title :
Quasi-best linear unbiased estimate for non-parallel constant stress accelerated storage life test data
Author :
Hongyu Wang ; Xiaobing Ma
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Reliability & Syst. Eng., Beihang Univ., Beijing, China
fYear :
2014
Firstpage :
850
Lastpage :
853
Abstract :
A quasi-best linear unbiased estimation method for non-parallel accelerated storage life test data is proposed in this paper. As the stress imposed on the products is at a low level in storage state, the physical process of life depletion (corrosion, aging, stress relaxation, etc.) is extremely slow. So it is difficult to obtain sufficient information about the storage failure time of the products in a reasonably short period of time. Therefore, accelerated life test is widely used to estimate the storage lifetime of products. Accelerated storage life test is a method to estimate product lifetime in which products are placed under the test stress level significantly higher than storage environment stress level. Through accelerating the physical process of storage life depletion which the products need to experience, all or part of the products failure information is obtained, and then the service life under normal storage stress level can be derived by acceleration equations. However, the traditional estimation methods which are applied to life-determination test data of new products generally fail to analysis accelerated storage test data from non-parallel storage products which are stored for different periods of time before test. This problem is widespread in life-extension test. If the different storage time is ignored, estimation results will deviate from the real values. However, when maximum likelihood estimate method is used to analysis non-parallel accelerated storage life test data, there exist relatively large errors in estimation results. For this reason, a new method - quasi-best linear unbiased estimation method for non-parallel accelerated storage life test data is established. Firstly, the initial values of the parameters to be estimated are selected to calculate the acceleration coefficient. And then through acceleration coefficient, the storage time is converted to the equivalent time under test stress. Next the equivalent time is combined with th- failure time observed in non-parallel storage test. Finally, the point estimates of the parameters and the confidence interval estimate of the reliability index can be obtained through iterating best linear unbiased estimation method. At the end of the paper, the rationality and feasibility of the proposed method in this paper are illustrated through simulation.
Keywords :
life testing; maximum likelihood estimation; reliability; storage; acceleration coefficient; life depletion; life-determination test data; maximum likelihood estimate method; nonparallel constant stress accelerated storage life test data; normal storage stress level; products failure information; quasibest linear unbiased estimate; reliability index; storage life depletion; Acceleration; Life estimation; Mathematical model; Maximum likelihood estimation; Reliability; Stress; Constant Stress Accelerated Storage Life Test; Maximum likelihood estimation; Quasi-Best Linear Unbiased Estimate; arrhenius equation;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Reliability, Maintainability and Safety (ICRMS), 2014 International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-6631-8
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICRMS.2014.7107322
Filename :
7107322
Link To Document :
بازگشت