• DocumentCode
    3591069
  • Title

    Time series prediction via neural network inversion

  • Author

    Yan, Lian ; Miller, David J.

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Electr. Eng., Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA, USA
  • Volume
    2
  • fYear
    1999
  • Firstpage
    1049
  • Abstract
    In this work, we propose neural network inversion of a backward predictor as a technique for multi-step prediction of dynamic time series. It may be difficult to train a large network to capture the correlation that exists in some dynamic time series represented by small data sets. The new approach combines an estimate obtained from a forward predictor with an estimate obtained by inverting a backward predictor to more efficiently capture the correlation and to achieve more accurate predictions. Inversion allows us to make causal use of prediction backward in time. Also a new regularization method is developed to make neural network inversion less ill-posed. Experimental results on two benchmark time series demonstrate the new approach´s significant improvement over standard forward prediction, given comparable complexity
  • Keywords
    correlation theory; feedforward neural nets; inverse problems; learning (artificial intelligence); prediction theory; time series; backward predictor; complexity; correlation; forward predictor; multi-step prediction; neural network inversion; regularization method; time series prediction; training; Continuous time systems; Economic forecasting; Engineering profession; Feedforward neural networks; Neural networks; Sampling methods; Statistical analysis; Stochastic systems; Vector quantization; Weather forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing, 1999. Proceedings., 1999 IEEE International Conference on
  • ISSN
    1520-6149
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-5041-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICASSP.1999.759923
  • Filename
    759923