DocumentCode :
3591069
Title :
Time series prediction via neural network inversion
Author :
Yan, Lian ; Miller, David J.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. Eng., Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA, USA
Volume :
2
fYear :
1999
Firstpage :
1049
Abstract :
In this work, we propose neural network inversion of a backward predictor as a technique for multi-step prediction of dynamic time series. It may be difficult to train a large network to capture the correlation that exists in some dynamic time series represented by small data sets. The new approach combines an estimate obtained from a forward predictor with an estimate obtained by inverting a backward predictor to more efficiently capture the correlation and to achieve more accurate predictions. Inversion allows us to make causal use of prediction backward in time. Also a new regularization method is developed to make neural network inversion less ill-posed. Experimental results on two benchmark time series demonstrate the new approach´s significant improvement over standard forward prediction, given comparable complexity
Keywords :
correlation theory; feedforward neural nets; inverse problems; learning (artificial intelligence); prediction theory; time series; backward predictor; complexity; correlation; forward predictor; multi-step prediction; neural network inversion; regularization method; time series prediction; training; Continuous time systems; Economic forecasting; Engineering profession; Feedforward neural networks; Neural networks; Sampling methods; Statistical analysis; Stochastic systems; Vector quantization; Weather forecasting;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing, 1999. Proceedings., 1999 IEEE International Conference on
ISSN :
1520-6149
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-5041-3
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICASSP.1999.759923
Filename :
759923
Link To Document :
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