DocumentCode
3591069
Title
Time series prediction via neural network inversion
Author
Yan, Lian ; Miller, David J.
Author_Institution
Dept. of Electr. Eng., Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA, USA
Volume
2
fYear
1999
Firstpage
1049
Abstract
In this work, we propose neural network inversion of a backward predictor as a technique for multi-step prediction of dynamic time series. It may be difficult to train a large network to capture the correlation that exists in some dynamic time series represented by small data sets. The new approach combines an estimate obtained from a forward predictor with an estimate obtained by inverting a backward predictor to more efficiently capture the correlation and to achieve more accurate predictions. Inversion allows us to make causal use of prediction backward in time. Also a new regularization method is developed to make neural network inversion less ill-posed. Experimental results on two benchmark time series demonstrate the new approach´s significant improvement over standard forward prediction, given comparable complexity
Keywords
correlation theory; feedforward neural nets; inverse problems; learning (artificial intelligence); prediction theory; time series; backward predictor; complexity; correlation; forward predictor; multi-step prediction; neural network inversion; regularization method; time series prediction; training; Continuous time systems; Economic forecasting; Engineering profession; Feedforward neural networks; Neural networks; Sampling methods; Statistical analysis; Stochastic systems; Vector quantization; Weather forecasting;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing, 1999. Proceedings., 1999 IEEE International Conference on
ISSN
1520-6149
Print_ISBN
0-7803-5041-3
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICASSP.1999.759923
Filename
759923
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