Title :
Automated Average Cycle Length Detection in Chaotic Time Series
Author :
Cristina Maria Stefanache;Gheorghe Cosmin Silaghi;Cristian Marius Litan
Author_Institution :
Babes-Bolyai Univ., Cluj-Napoca, Romania
Abstract :
Fractal analysis represents a powerful tool to identify the inner dimension of various chaotic, non-linear dynamic systems. The R/S analysis, which belongs to the class of the fractal tools, can help to determine the cycles´ length of a time series, however it mostly relies on visual examination. In this paper we complement the R/S analysis with an automated method for cycles´ length detection, which is based on the Zivot-Andrews test for structural breaks. We test our method on both theoretical benchmark time series as well as real life data. We show that we can enhance the classical fractal tools with econometric techniques in order to produce an automatic procedure for cycles´ length detection, to be further used in system modeling and simulation.
Keywords :
"Chaos","Time series analysis","Fractals","Econometrics","Automatic testing","Life testing","Benchmark testing","Intelligent systems","Power system modeling","Algorithm design and analysis"
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems, Modelling and Simulation (ISMS), 2010 International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5984-1
DOI :
10.1109/ISMS.2010.36