Vehicle tracking and motion prediction in complex urban scenarios

The recognition of potentially hazardous situations on road intersections is an indispensable skill of future driver assistance systems. In this context, this study focuses on the task of vehicle tracking in combination with a long-term motion prediction (1-2 s into the future) in a dynamic scenario. A motion-attributed stereo point cloud obtained using computationally efficient feature-based methods represents the scene, relying on images of a stereo camera system mounted on a vehicle. A two-stage mean-shift algorithm is used for detection and tracking of the traffic participants. A hierarchical setup depending on the history of the tracked object is applied for prediction. This includes prediction by optical flow, a standard kinematic prediction, and a particle filter based motion pattern method relying on learned object trajectories. The evaluation shows that the proposed system is able to track the road users in a stable manner and predict their positions at least one order of magnitude more accurately than a standard kinematic prediction method.