Title :
Multi-variate timeseries forecasting using complex fuzzy logic
Author :
Omolbanin Yazdanbakhsh;Scott Dick
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada
Abstract :
Complex fuzzy logic has been repeatedly used to construct very effective time-series forecasting algorithms. The great majority of these studies, however, only involve univariate time series. The only exception is one work on bivariate time series. Our objective is to investigate the network architectures and time series representations that lead to effective general multi-variate time series forecasting. Our experiments will make use of the Adaptive Neuro-Complex Fuzzy Inferential System architecture, evaluating three different approaches (single-input single-output, multiple-input single-output, and multiple-input multiple-output) on three multi-variate datasets. Our results indicate that the complex fuzzy architectures are at least as accurate as Radial Basis Function Networks and Support Vector Regression on these problems.
Keywords :
"Time series analysis","Delays","Forecasting","Fuzzy logic","Fuzzy sets","MIMO","Algorithm design and analysis"
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Information Processing Society (NAFIPS) held jointly with 2015 5th World Conference on Soft Computing (WConSC), 2015 Annual Conference of the North American
DOI :
10.1109/NAFIPS-WConSC.2015.7284136