Title :
Bootstrap prediction interval estimation for wind speed forecasting
Author :
Rachid Errouissi;Julian Cardenas-Barrera;Julian Meng;Eduardo Castillo-Guerra;Xun Gong;Liuchen Chang
Author_Institution :
Department of Electrical Engineering, The Petroleum Institute Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Abstract :
In this work we apply a bootstrap method to obtain probabilistic forecasts from past single-valued forecasts offered by a Numerical Weather Prediction model. The potential of the proposed method is assessed with real data from four wind farms in Eastern Canada. The methodology can be extended to other existing point forecasting methods.
Keywords :
"Wind forecasting","Wind speed","Forecasting","Predictive models","Estimation","Uncertainty"
Conference_Titel :
Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition (ECCE), 2015 IEEE
Electronic_ISBN :
2329-3748
DOI :
10.1109/ECCE.2015.7309931