Context sensitive indoor temperature forecast for energy efficient operation of smart buildings

This paper analyzes the potential of knowledge discovery from sensed data, which enables real-time systems monitoring, management, prediction and optimization in smart buildings. State of the art data driven techniques generate predictive short-term indoor temperature models based on real building data collected during daily operation. The most accurate results are achieved by the Bayesian Regularized Neural Network technique. Our results show that we are able to achieve a low relative predictive error for each room temperature in the range of 1.35% - 2.31% with low standard deviation of the residuals.