A Risk Probability Model of Study Large Vessel Navigation with Wind and Water Flow

With the development of shipping industry, the large vessel safety of sailing in channel becomes one of the most important issues of concern. This paper considers the influences of drift by wind and current, ship´s drift distance combines normal distribution, analyzing the probability distribution of ship, and predicting the risk of ship navigation. It provides some reference for the ship´s officer to judge the vessel movement and guarantee the safety of navigation.