Title :
Can unpredictable systems be managed?
Author_Institution :
Res. Associate, Syracuse Univ., NY, USA
Abstract :
The paper is an overview of several new ideas about complex, unpredictable systems and explores what it means to manage a system you can\´t predict. The paper also considers the potential utility of several ideas from the new science of networks. The critical difference between tightly and loosely coupled systems is then examined as well as a concept called "practical drift" which may help explain how strong coupling can sometimes make complex systems unstable.
Keywords :
large-scale systems; management science; complex systems; loosely coupled systems; network science; organisational aspects; practical drift concept; tightly coupled systems; unpredictable systems; Air accidents; Business communication; Economic forecasting; Helicopters; Humans; Information resources; Physics; Resource management; Road transportation; Waste materials;
Conference_Titel :
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2003. IEEE International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7952-7
DOI :
10.1109/ICSMC.2003.1244708