DocumentCode :
401646
Title :
Traffic flow forecasting based on grey neural network model
Author :
Chen, Shu-yan ; Qu, Gao-feng ; Wang, Xing-he ; Zhang, Hum-zhong
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Phys., Nanjing Normal Univ., China
Volume :
2
fYear :
2003
fDate :
2-5 Nov. 2003
Firstpage :
1275
Abstract :
In this paper, a kind of grey neural network (abbreviate as GNN) is proposed which combines grey system theory with neural network, that is, the GNN model has been built by adding a grey layer before neural input layer and a white layer after neural output layer. Gray neural network can elaborate advantages of both grey model and neural network, and enhance further precision of forecasting. The GNN model is employed to forecast a real vehicle traffic flow of Jingshi highway with favor precision and result, which is firstly applied GNN to traffic flow forecasting. Evaluation method has been used for comparing the performance of forecasting techniques. The experiments show that the GNN model is outperformed GM model and neural network model, and traffic flow forecasting based on GNN is of validity and feasibility.
Keywords :
convergence; forecasting theory; grey systems; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; road traffic; Jingshi highway; convergence process; grey neural network model; grey system theory; neural net training; nonlinear map feature; real vehicle traffic flow; traffic flow forecasting; Communication system traffic control; Intelligent transportation systems; Neural networks; Physics; Predictive models; Road transportation; Road vehicles; Stochastic systems; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2003 International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-8131-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2003.1259684
Filename :
1259684
Link To Document :
بازگشت