Title :
Amazing 2002 monsoon
Author :
Flatau, Piotr J. ; Flatau, P.J. ; Schmidt, Jerrome ; Rudnick, Dan
Author_Institution :
Naval Res. Lab., CA, USA
Abstract :
We show that there is a set of dynamical predictors, which facilitate forecasting of a delayed monsoon onset. The main dynamical contributor is the early May propagation of the "bogus onset MJO" which triggers a set of events precluding the climatological monsoon onset. We analyze in detail the 2002 monsoon onset and show that it followed a pattern described in our previous study. We discuss air-sea interaction during the monsoon onset.
Keywords :
meteorology; oceanographic techniques; AD 2002; May propagation; air-sea interaction; bogus onset MJO; climatological monsoon onset; delayed monsoon onset; dynamical contributor; dynamical predictor; weather forecasting; Delay; Laboratories;
Conference_Titel :
OCEANS 2003. Proceedings
Conference_Location :
San Diego, CA, USA
Print_ISBN :
0-933957-30-0
DOI :
10.1109/OCEANS.2003.178146
