DocumentCode :
442161
Title :
Study of prediction model on grey relational BP neural network based on rough set
Author :
Zhang, Yun ; He, Yong
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Biosystems Eng. & Food Sci., Zhejiang Univ., Hangzhou, China
Volume :
8
fYear :
2005
fDate :
18-21 Aug. 2005
Firstpage :
4764
Abstract :
Artificial neural network is a type of large-scale nonlinear dynamical system capable of recognizing the obscure relationships between diverse variables. Its redundant input nodes often POST http://www.icmlc.org/Author/Author_Rts. With the introduction of rough set and grey relation theories, condition attributes were considered as correlation sequences and decision attributes as reference sequences. And the grey correlation coefficient represented the weight upon which the condition attributes were reduced and the initial decision table was renewed with the remaining core factors. As a result of training the BP neural network by the reduced condition attributes, the prediction precision was improved prominently. In the application of this model to forecast the grain yields of China in 2001 and 2002, the results show great improvement of prediction precision as 0.83% and 1.93% respectively. And the fitting precision of the grain yields in the other 11 years (1990-2000) are all above 99%. The redundancy elimination also increases the network training rate by reducing the input and hidden nodes.
Keywords :
backpropagation; crops; decision tables; forecasting theory; grey systems; neural nets; nonlinear dynamical systems; rough set theory; BP neural network; artificial neural network; condition attribute; decision attribute; decision table; forecasting theory; grain crop yield; grey correlation coefficient; nonlinear dynamical system; prediction model; reference sequence; rough set theory; Accuracy; Artificial neural networks; Crops; Helium; Information systems; Large-scale systems; Neural networks; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Predictive models; Set theory; Artificial neural network; attribute reduction; core factor; grey correlation coefficient; gross grain crop yield; prediction; rough set;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2005. Proceedings of 2005 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guangzhou, China
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-9091-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2005.1527780
Filename :
1527780
Link To Document :
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