Title :
Forecasting Chaotic Time Series Based on Improved Genetic Wnn
Author :
Wang, Yongsheng ; Jiang, Wenzhi ; Yuan, Shengzhi ; Wang, Jianguo
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Armament Sci. & Technol., Navy Aeronaut. Eng. Univ., Yantai
Abstract :
The chaotic time series forecast was researched by using wavelet neural networks (WNN) in this paper. An improved training method for WNN was presented. The method combines the genetic algorithm (GA) with gradient descent BP algorithm; the BP method was embedded in the GA operation in order to resolve the GA´s limitation in detail search capability. In the last step of the method the WNN searches the best solution using BP method once again. The experiment on predicting the chaotic time series from Henon map illustrates the performance of the method; the experimental result also shows the method can assure the WNN convergence quickly and have the higher forecasting precision.
Keywords :
Henon mapping; backpropagation; chaos; convergence; genetic algorithms; gradient methods; mathematics computing; neural nets; search problems; time series; wavelet transforms; Henon map; chaotic time series forecasting; convergence; genetic algorithm; gradient descent BP algorithm; search problem; wavelet neural network; Artificial neural networks; Chaos; Chaotic communication; Design optimization; Entropy; Genetic algorithms; Neural networks; Signal processing algorithms; Technology forecasting; Wavelet domain; chaos; forecasting; genetic arithmetic (GA); time series; wavelet neural networks (WNN);
Conference_Titel :
Natural Computation, 2008. ICNC '08. Fourth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Jinan
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3304-9
DOI :
10.1109/ICNC.2008.283