Title :
Short-Term Load Forecasting Model Based on LS-SVM in Bayesian Inference
Author :
Zhang, Yun-yun ; Niu, Dong-xiao ; Lv, Hai-tao ; Zhang, Ye
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Econ. & Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
Abstract :
Short-term load forecasting is very important for power system. A combined excellent model based on least squares support vector machines in Bayesian inference is proposed in this paper to do the short-term load forecasting. Least squares support vector machines (LS-SVM) are new kinds of support vector machines (SVM) which regress faster than the standard SVM, they are adopt to do the forecasting, and the parameters of model proposed are gained in the three levels of Bayesian inference. A real case is experimented with to test the performance of the model, the result shows that the proposed combined model outperforms BP network which is choose to be the comparative model, so improving the accuracy of load forecasting.
Keywords :
belief networks; least squares approximations; support vector machines; Bayesian inference; least squares support vector machines; short-term load forecasting model; Bayesian methods; Least squares methods; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Mathematical model; Power system economics; Power system management; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Bayesian inference; LS-SVM; Short-term load forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Education Technology and Computer Science, 2009. ETCS '09. First International Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan, Hubei
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3581-4
DOI :
10.1109/ETCS.2009.62