Analysis and Forecasting on Carrying Capacity of Livestock Breeding Environment in Heilongjiang Province

Livestock husbandry is a systems engineering. It canpsilat develop without the support of environment. Doing research on carrying capacity of livestock breeding environment means a lot to continuous development of livestock husbandry. This paper takes Heilongjiang Province as an example, using analysis method and grey forecasting model to analyze and forecast on carrying capacity of livestock breeding environment in Heilongjiang Province and arrive at the conclusion: the carrying capacity of livestock breeding environment in Heilongjiang Province is strong but appears decreasing tendency. According to the present model and speed of development, if we do nothing towards livestock excreta, until 2015, the carrying capacity will below the security line. If we take some measures to change 70 percent of livestock excreta into energy, feed and fertilizer, the carrying capacity wonpsilat below the security line until 2017.