• DocumentCode
    507535
  • Title

    Forecasting Analysis of Nonlinear Complex System in Machine Learning

  • Author

    Zhang, Po ; Wang, Xiaozhe ; Zhang, Yagang

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Math. & Phys., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding, China
  • Volume
    2
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    Nov. 30 2009-Dec. 1 2009
  • Firstpage
    375
  • Lastpage
    378
  • Abstract
    Learning is the process of constructing a model from complex world. And machine learning is concerned with constructing computer programs that automatically improve with experience. Machine learning draws on concepts and results from many fields. Obviously, no matter what we adopt new analytical method or technical means, we must have a distinct recognition of system itself and its complexity, and increase continuously analysis, operation and control level. The forecasting analysis of nonlinear complex system will be discussed carefully in this paper. We are mainly using grey forecasting theory to forecast data sequences, and the usual forecast precision has exceeded 90%. In the symbolic forecast of 2-letters nonlinear complex system, the precision of grey forecasting certainly will decrease as the length of symbolic sequence is increasing. But in this place we have found a generating rule that may realize chaotic synchronization at least in short and medium term, and we can analysis and forecast in this way.
  • Keywords
    forecasting theory; grey systems; learning (artificial intelligence); synchronisation; chaotic synchronization; forecasting analysis; grey forecasting theory; machine learning; nonlinear complex system; Chaos; Economic forecasting; Information analysis; Machine learning; Mathematical model; Mathematics; Nonlinear systems; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Stochastic processes; chaotic synchronization; forecasting analysis; machine learning; nonlinear complex system;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Knowledge Acquisition and Modeling, 2009. KAM '09. Second International Symposium on
  • Conference_Location
    Wuhan
  • Print_ISBN
    978-0-7695-3888-4
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/KAM.2009.139
  • Filename
    5362022