DocumentCode
507535
Title
Forecasting Analysis of Nonlinear Complex System in Machine Learning
Author
Zhang, Po ; Wang, Xiaozhe ; Zhang, Yagang
Author_Institution
Dept. of Math. & Phys., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding, China
Volume
2
fYear
2009
fDate
Nov. 30 2009-Dec. 1 2009
Firstpage
375
Lastpage
378
Abstract
Learning is the process of constructing a model from complex world. And machine learning is concerned with constructing computer programs that automatically improve with experience. Machine learning draws on concepts and results from many fields. Obviously, no matter what we adopt new analytical method or technical means, we must have a distinct recognition of system itself and its complexity, and increase continuously analysis, operation and control level. The forecasting analysis of nonlinear complex system will be discussed carefully in this paper. We are mainly using grey forecasting theory to forecast data sequences, and the usual forecast precision has exceeded 90%. In the symbolic forecast of 2-letters nonlinear complex system, the precision of grey forecasting certainly will decrease as the length of symbolic sequence is increasing. But in this place we have found a generating rule that may realize chaotic synchronization at least in short and medium term, and we can analysis and forecast in this way.
Keywords
forecasting theory; grey systems; learning (artificial intelligence); synchronisation; chaotic synchronization; forecasting analysis; grey forecasting theory; machine learning; nonlinear complex system; Chaos; Economic forecasting; Information analysis; Machine learning; Mathematical model; Mathematics; Nonlinear systems; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Stochastic processes; chaotic synchronization; forecasting analysis; machine learning; nonlinear complex system;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Knowledge Acquisition and Modeling, 2009. KAM '09. Second International Symposium on
Conference_Location
Wuhan
Print_ISBN
978-0-7695-3888-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/KAM.2009.139
Filename
5362022
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