Title :
Application of Genetic Programming to Prediction of Rural Labor Migration
Author :
Dongping, Wang ; Jianqiang, Peng ; Zhen, Yan
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Modern Sci. & Technol., Agric. Univ. of Hebei, Baoding, China
Abstract :
Accurate prediction of labor migration account is important basis of correct migration decision-making and reasonable utilization and orderly transformation of rural labor. Because labor migration account is influenced by various uncertain factors of society and economy, but random constant ¿ in terminal sets of GP can balance the influence of related factor of measurand, therefore GP is applied to predict rural labor migration. After the program trained by training samples, prediction model of rural labor migration is affected by time variable is established and is tested by test samples. The results showed that the function which adopt GP has good fitting and forecasting effect, and model with simple structure can effectively avoid artificial error which is formed by various uncertain factors, so it is feasible to predict of rural labor migration.
Keywords :
decision making; forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; grey systems; labour resources; genetic programming; labor migration account; migration decision making; rural labor migration prediction; rural labor orderly transformation; rural labor reasonable utilization; Artificial neural networks; Decision making; Differential equations; Economic forecasting; Fitting; Genetic programming; Predictive models; Regression analysis; Stability; Testing; GP; Prediction of rural labor migration; rural labor migration; uncertain factors;
Conference_Titel :
Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering, 2009 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Xi´an
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3876-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICIII.2009.353