• DocumentCode
    511683
  • Title

    Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plant Project Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process in the Early Operation

  • Author

    Lidong, Duan ; Dongxiao, Hiu ; Haitao, Lv ; Bingen, Kou

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Bus. & Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    28-30 Oct. 2009
  • Firstpage
    473
  • Lastpage
    477
  • Abstract
    As the development of technology, the enterprises of our country have came into the stage of all-round risk management. But there are still many problems in the initial stage of risk management about thermal power plant projects. This paper brings forward the concept of initial risk evaluation about constructive projects in thermal power plant, puts forward and builds the evaluation index system for the first time. Besides we develop traditional analytic hierarchy process (AHP) using triangular fuzzy numbers according to the subjective fuzziness of experts´ judging, so to solve the weight of index in each level. Integrated with the idiographic thermal power units, the risk level of the thermal project is evaluated according to the membership degree of risk.
  • Keywords
    decision making; fuzzy set theory; project management; risk management; statistical analysis; thermal power stations; all-round risk management; fuzzy analytic hierarchy process; idiographic thermal power units; initial risk evaluation; risk assessment; the evaluation index system; thermal power plant project; triangular fuzzy numbers; Computer science; Costs; Environmental economics; Investments; Power engineering and energy; Power generation; Power generation economics; Risk analysis; Risk management; Thermal management; Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process; initial risk assessment; thermal power plant;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computer Science and Engineering, 2009. WCSE '09. Second International Workshop on
  • Conference_Location
    Qingdao
  • Print_ISBN
    978-0-7695-3881-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WCSE.2009.713
  • Filename
    5403422