Title :
Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Using Least Squares Support Vector Machines(LS-SVM)
Author :
Wu Junfang ; Niu Dongxiao
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Accurate forecasting of electricity load has been one of the most important issues in the electricity industry. Modern data mining methods have played a crucial role in forecasting electricity load. Support vector machines (SVMs) have been successfully employed to solve nonlinear regression and time series problems. Based on the Nystro¿m approximation and the primal-dual formulation of the least squares support vector machines (LS-SVM), it becomes possible to apply a nonlinear model to a large scale regression problem. With an active selection of support vectors based on quadratic Renyi entropy criteria, approximation of the nonlinear mapping induced by the kernel matrix. The methodology is applied to the case of load forecasting in Inner Mongolia of China.
Keywords :
data mining; electricity supply industry; entropy; least squares approximations; load forecasting; power engineering computing; regression analysis; support vector machines; time series; Nystro¿m approximation; data mining; electricity industry; electricity load forecasting; kernel matrix; large scale regression problem; least squares support vector machines; nonlinear mapping; nonlinear regression; quadratic Renyi entropy criteria; short-term power load forecasting; time series; Data mining; Entropy; Least squares approximation; Least squares methods; Load forecasting; Power generation; Predictive models; Production; Support vector machine classification; Support vector machines; Data mining; Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM); Renyi entropy criteria; Short-Term power load forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Computer Science and Engineering, 2009. WCSE '09. Second International Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Qingdao
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3881-5
DOI :
10.1109/WCSE.2009.663