• DocumentCode
    523692
  • Title

    Identification and Analysis of Fluctuation Law of Grain Prices

  • Author

    Chao, Sun ; Jun, Meng

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Northeast Agric. Univ., Harbin, China
  • Volume
    2
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    11-12 May 2010
  • Firstpage
    457
  • Lastpage
    460
  • Abstract
    Grain prices are influenced by many factors including the climate, the level of household consumption, consumption structure, the structure of supply and demand of domestic and international stock and futures markets and the circulation system of the grain, have a nonlinear dynamic system characteristics and the evolution law, suitable for the application of chaotic time sequence to study the law of price fluctuations and price forecasts. In this paper, we mainly use the chaotic time series theory and methods to study the law of the price fluctuations of the grain in China, in theory it can explore new ways for fluctuation research in prices of grain price and in practice it can provide a scientific basis for the planning of grain production.
  • Keywords
    crops; nonlinear systems; pricing; stock markets; supply and demand; time series; China; chaotic time series theory; domestic stock; grain prices; grain production; household consumption; international stock; nonlinear dynamic system; price fluctuation law analysis; price forecasts; supply and demand; Automation; Chaos; Delay effects; Economic forecasting; Fluctuations; Intelligent structures; Mutual information; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Predictive models; Principal component analysis; Chaotic identification; Chaotic time series; Grain price fluctuations;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Intelligent Computation Technology and Automation (ICICTA), 2010 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Changsha
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-7279-6
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-7280-2
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICICTA.2010.779
  • Filename
    5522853