Title :
A heuristic choice of tuning parameters in a location invariant reduced-bias estimation of the extreme value index: Application to financial log-returns and simulated data
Author :
Gomes, M. Ivette ; Henriques-Rodrigues, Lígia
Author_Institution :
CEAUL, Univ. de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Abstract :
In this paper, we provide a simple heuristic choice of the tuning parameters involved in a location and scale invariant semi-parametric estimation of a positive extreme value index (EV I), the primary parameter in Statistics of Extremes. Under such a context of heavy-tailed underlying parents, the classical EVI-estimators are Hill estimators, based on any intermediate number k of top order statistics. But these EVI estimators are not location-invariant, contrarily to the PORT-Hill estimators, which depend on an extra tuning parameter q, with 0 ≤ q <; 1. On the basis of second-order minimum-variance reduced-bias (MV RB) EVI-estimators, we shall here consider PORT-MVRB EVI-estimators, and propose a heuristic procedure for the adaptive choice of k and q. Applications in the field of finance and to simulated data are provided.
Keywords :
adaptive estimation; financial management; statistical analysis; Hill estimators; PORT-Hill estimators; PORT-MVRB EVI estimator; extreme value index; financial log returns; heuristic choice; location invariant reduced bias estimation; minimum variance reduced bias EVI estimator; scale invariant semiparametric estimation; simulated data; statistics of extremes; tuning parameter; Analytical models; Data models; Estimation; Indexes; Stability criteria; Tuning; Heavy tails; adaptive semi-parametric estimation; bias reduction; extreme value index; location/scale invariant estimation; statistics of extremes;
Conference_Titel :
Information Technology Interfaces (ITI), 2010 32nd International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Cavtat/Dubrovnik
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5732-8