Title :
Load forecasting based on GM - Markov chain model
Author :
Wang, Jingmin ; Kang, Junjie ; Sun, Yanfu ; Liu, Duanmei
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding, China
Abstract :
In power management load forecasting is important. Based on the advantage and deficiency of gray GM (1, 1) predict and Markov´s chain this paper puts up with the the electric load models, that is gray - of Markov´s chain predicts. Take power consumption of nearly ten years in Jiangxi Province as an example to prove this model.
Keywords :
Markov processes; load forecasting; power system management; GM Markov chain model; Jiangxi province; power management load forecasting; Differential equations; Electricity; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Markov processes; Mathematical model; Predictive models; GM(1,1); Load Forecasting; Markov Chain;
Conference_Titel :
Circuits,Communications and System (PACCS), 2010 Second Pacific-Asia Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7969-6
DOI :
10.1109/PACCS.2010.5627058
