Title :
Wv-SVM with genetic algorithms for gas load forecasting
Author :
Lai, Zhaolin ; Xu, XiaoZhong
Author_Institution :
Inf. & Electr. Eng. Coll., Shanghai Normal Univ., Shanghai, China
Abstract :
Accurate short-term load forecasting is important in regional or national gas pipeline network system strategy management. Gas load forecasting is complex to conduct due to its nonlinearity of influenced factors. Support vector machines (SVM) has been successfully employed to solve nonlinear regression and time series problems, however, the application for load forecasting is rare. The purpose of this paper is to present a wavelet v-SVM with genetic algorithm (GA) to forecast the gas loads. GA is applied to the parameter determine of Wv-SVM model. The empirical results reveal that the proposed model outperforms the artificial neural network (ANN), Wv- SVM models.
Keywords :
genetic algorithms; load forecasting; neural nets; pipelines; regression analysis; support vector machines; time series; wavelet transforms; GA; Wv-SVM model; artificial neural network; gas load forecasting; genetic algorithm; national gas pipeline network system strategy; nonlinear regression; regional strategy management; short-term load forecasting; support vector machine; time series problem; wavelet v-SVM; Forecasting; Genetic algorithms; Kernel; Load modeling; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Wavelet transforms; Gas load forecasting; genetic algorithms (GA); support vector machines (SVM);
Conference_Titel :
Computer Science and Automation Engineering (CSAE), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8727-1
DOI :
10.1109/CSAE.2011.5953247