Title :
Research on machine learning method-based combination forecasting model and its application
Author :
Zhenlong Sun ; Conghui Zhu ; Bing Xu ; Sheng Li
Author_Institution :
MOE-MS Key Lab. of Natural Language Process. & Speech, Harbin Inst. of Technol., Harbin, China
Abstract :
A novel combination forecasting model is presented in this paper, which combines single ones based on machine learning. The model has been applied to the prediction of five cities´ election in Taiwan with combining the exposure rate and the approval rate, which obtains good results. The exposure rate is the frequency of a candidate´s appearances in the news and approval rate is the proportion of the positive information of a candidate. And the polarity of a review is predicted by sentiment classification based on machine learning techniques. A novel method of feature extraction is used in sentiment classification, which makes the classifier effectively assign the review a type of polarity. Meanwhile, this paper proposes a method of feature clustering and extending based on the synonym dictionary, which obviously reduces the dimension of feature vector and improve the F-score of sentiment classification.
Keywords :
feature extraction; government data processing; learning (artificial intelligence); pattern classification; pattern clustering; Taiwan; approval rate; cities election prediction; exposure rate; f-score sentiment classification; feature clustering; feature extraction method; feature vector; machine learning method-based combination forecasting model; review polarity; synonym dictionary; Dictionaries; Feature extraction; Forecasting; Information entropy; Nominations and elections; Predictive models; Training; combination forecasting model; feature clustering; feature extraction; sentiment classification;
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery (FSKD), 2011 Eighth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-180-9
DOI :
10.1109/FSKD.2011.6019650