Prediction of tourists flow distribution based on transition probability matrix

A new prediction algorithm of tourists flow distribution based on transition probability matrix (TPM) is proposed in this paper. In order to analyze the visitor transition-behavior and the tourists distribution model, the tourists flow distribution of 5 zones at Shanghai Expo site is predicted based on the TPM, which is estimated by use of multivariate linear regression in optimization. The extensive experimental results verify the efficiency and the correctness of the proposed algorithm over the wavelet neural network prediction method.