DocumentCode :
568785
Title :
An Improved Heuristic-Based Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting Model Using Genetic Algorithm
Author :
Jilani, T.A. ; Amjad, U. ; Jaafar, J. ; Hassan, S.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput. Sci., Univ. of Karachi, Tronoh, Malaysia
Volume :
1
fYear :
2012
fDate :
12-14 June 2012
Firstpage :
242
Lastpage :
247
Abstract :
Fuzzy time series is being used for forecasting since last two decades and a lot of work has been done by different researchers to get better forecasting models and higher forecasting accuracy. In this paper a heuristic trend predictor is proposed based on fuzzy time series forecasting model. The model will uses genetic algorithm for adjusting interval length to get improved results. The proposed method will be applied on car road accidents causalities data of Belgium and hopefully will get better results than many other previous methods.
Keywords :
automobiles; forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; genetic algorithms; road accidents; time series; transportation; Belgium; car road accident causalities data; forecasting accuracy; genetic algorithm; heuristic trend predictor; heuristic-based fuzzy time series forecasting model; interval length; Computers; Information science; Fuzzy aggregation operations; Fuzzy forecasting; Fuzzy logical relationship groups (FLRGs); fuzzy time series; genetic algorithm;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Computer & Information Science (ICCIS), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kuala Lumpeu
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-1937-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICCISci.2012.6297247
Filename :
6297247
Link To Document :
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