Title :
The influence of wind direction on short-term wind power prediction: A case study in north China
Author :
Ding, Yuyu ; Zhou, Hai ; Tan, Zhiping ; Chen, Ying ; Ding, Jie
Author_Institution :
China Electr. Power Res. Inst., Nanjing, China
Abstract :
This paper investigates the impact of wind direction on the prediction of wind power. A novel short-term wind power forecasting model is developed based on the data of wind speed, wind direction, wind farm output and numerical weather prediction. Statistical methods are adopted for the data analysis. To show the effectiveness, the approach is applied on a wind farm in north China. The average RMSE is reduced by 41.3% through the application of the proposed approach.
Keywords :
load forecasting; statistical analysis; wind power plants; North China; RMSE; data analysis; numerical weather prediction; short-term wind power forecasting model; short-term wind power prediction; statistical methods; wind direction; wind farm; wind speed; Forecasting; Predictive models; Wind farms; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation; Wind speed; NWP; power curve; regression; wind direction; wind power forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Innovative Smart Grid Technologies - Asia (ISGT Asia), 2012 IEEE
Conference_Location :
Tianjin
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-1221-9
DOI :
10.1109/ISGT-Asia.2012.6303282
