Forecast of wireless communication technology: A comparative study of regression and TFDEA Model

Author

Lim, Dong-Joon ; Anderson, Timothy R. ; Kim, Jisun

Author_Institution

Dept. of Eng. & Technol. Manage., Portland State Univ., Portland, OR, USA

fYear

2012

fDate

July 29 2012-Aug. 2 2012

Firstpage

1247

Lastpage

1253

Abstract

This study presents a formal comparison of TFDEA with regression model to forecast wireless communication technology. In addition to the data set from the former research, up-to-2011 4G network technologies are added and analyzed. The research was designed to set the point of forecasting in 2001 so that technologies between 2001 and 2011 are to be forecasted using data set between 1979 and 2001. The results from both TFDEA and regression model are compared and discussed. This comparative study can provide forecasters with different aspects between `best-practice measurement´ and `average practice measurement´ and, ultimately, help to select the suitable approach for their purposes.

Keywords

4G mobile communication; data envelopment analysis; regression analysis; technological forecasting; 4G network technology; TFDEA model; average practice measurement; best-practice measurement; regression model; technology forecasting using data envelopment analysis; wireless communication technology; Bandwidth; Multiaccess communication; Predictive models; Spread spectrum communication; WiMAX; Wireless sensor networks;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Technology Management for Emerging Technologies (PICMET), 2012 Proceedings of PICMET '12:

Conference_Location

Vancouver, BC

Print_ISBN

978-1-4673-2853-1

Type

conf

Filename

6304146