Title :
Technological foresight model for the identification of business opportunities (TEFMIBO)
Author :
Romero, Geovanny R. ; Güemes-Castorena, David ; Amado Villarreal, G.
Author_Institution :
Inst. Tecnol. y de Estudios Super. de Monterrey (ITESM), Monterrey, Mexico
fDate :
July 29 2012-Aug. 2 2012
Abstract :
The objective of this study is to provide a support tool for managers to craft a decision to route the future of their business. As an initial part of this paper we propose two studies: 1) trends analysis and 2) change drivers´ identification; these lets us know exactly what are the relevant trends in areas where we want to venture that may affect the business activities. All this information is put into a Delphi process with the help of experts in order to find the common denominator of where the future is going; afterwards, with this information we can build events and scenarios for the business opportunities. Then, a diagnostic of the study area, sector or organization through the dynamic diagnostic methods is performed. Once the opportunities have been identified, a strategic analysis that allows decision making to prioritize and define the activities or projects that may be achievable in the future is done, and the result of the process is a portfolio of in business opportunities projects fully defined and ready to be planned with a roadmap where the complete path is drawn. The process allows the managers to consistently organize their development processes targeted to real business opportunities.
Keywords :
decision making; investment; organisational aspects; Delphi process; TEFMIBO; decision making; development processes; drivers identification; dynamic diagnostic methods; portfolio; technological foresight model for the identification of business opportunities; trends analysis; Companies; Decision making; Economics; Market research; Portfolios; Vehicles;
Conference_Titel :
Technology Management for Emerging Technologies (PICMET), 2012 Proceedings of PICMET '12:
Conference_Location :
Vancouver, BC
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2853-1