Title :
Asset Allocation under Regime-Switching Models
Author :
Song, Na ; Ching, Wai-Ki ; Zhu, Dong-Mei ; Siu, Tak-Kuen
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Math., Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
Abstract :
We discuss an optimal asset allocation problem in a wide class of discrete-time regime-switching models including the hidden Markovian regime-switching (HMRS) model, the interactive hidden Markovian regime-switching (IHMRS) model and the self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) model. In the optimal asset allocation problem, the object of the investor is to select an optimal portfolio strategy so as to maximize the expected utility of wealth over a finite investment horizon. We solve the optimal portfolio problem using a dynamic programming approach in a discrete-time set up. Numerical results are provided to illustrate the practical implementation of the models and the impacts of different types of regime switching on optimal portfolio strategies.
Keywords :
dynamic programming; hidden Markov models; investment; HMRS model; IHMRS model; SETAR model; discrete-time regime-switching models; dynamic programming approach; finite-investment horizon; hidden Markovian regime-switching model; interactive hidden Markovian regime-switching model; optimal asset allocation problem; optimal portfolio strategy; self-exciting threshold autoregressive model; wealth utility maximization; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Economics; Hidden Markov models; Numerical models; Portfolios; Resource management; Asset Allocation; HMM; IHMM; Regime-Switching Models; SETAR Model; Stochastic Dynamical System;
Conference_Titel :
Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering (BIFE), 2012 Fifth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Lanzhou
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2092-4
DOI :
10.1109/BIFE.2012.38