Simulation of socio-economic environment system evolution based on different government preference: A case study of Taihu Lake basin

The multi-agent system model has been built on the basis of complex adaptive system theory in order to explore evolution law of socio-economic environment system based on the different governance preference. Taking the Taihu Lake basin as research object, it demonstrates the dynamics of the economical value, employment, and water pollutants discharge which are caused by the industry development based on the governance preference of economic development priority as well as environmental protection priority. The evolutionary result demonstrates that it promote economical growth and employment on the basis of comprehensive consideration of society, economics and water environment as well as improve water environment in those two scenarios. However, it is more efficient in water environment protection based on preference of environment protection priorities, although it sacrifices the economic and employment growth on certain extent. There are some evolutionary discrepancies in different regions of Taihu Lake basin. Their detailed discrepancies can be illustrated as follows: economics accesses the faster growth in Changzhou and Huzhou, employment gets greater incensement in Suzhou and water environment has the most obvious improvement in Wuxi and Suzhou.