Title :
Closure to the Discussion of “Prediction Intervals for Short-Term Wind Farm Generation Forecasts” and “Combined Nonparametric Prediction Intervals for Wind Power Generation” and the Discussion of “Combined Nonparametric
Author :
Khosravi, Abbas ; Nahavandi, S.
Author_Institution :
Centre for Intell. Syst. Res., Deakin Univ., Geelong, VIC, Australia
Abstract :
In the above discussions [1], [2], some concerns have been raised related to the suitability of coverage-width-criterion (CWC) for comprehensive evaluation of the quality of prediction intervals (PIs) generated using neural networks (NNs). Effects of existing CWC measure on the quality of PIs reported in [3] and [4] are analyzed in this short note. Alternative methods for optimal construction and comprehensive evaluation of PIs are also discussed.
Keywords :
load forecasting; neural nets; power system analysis computing; simulated annealing; wind power plants; CWC; NN; combined nonparametric prediction intervals; coverage-width-criterion; neural networks; short-term wind farm generation forecasts; Wind farms; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation;
Journal_Title :
Sustainable Energy, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TSTE.2014.2323852