DocumentCode :
582265
Title :
A research on estimating the birth population with time varying restriction strategy
Author :
Xiaoning, Yue
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Sci., Shenyang Univ., Shenyang, China
fYear :
2012
fDate :
25-27 July 2012
Firstpage :
4156
Lastpage :
4159
Abstract :
According to the feature that the density of female population affects the birth rate most, we studied the birth population with time-varying restriction strategy while taking the density of female population as the research object. The fitting test was done with the help of the theory of Lyapunov and the goodness of related curves. The density model of the Normal Distribution has been established while the childbearing age was taken as random variables. By introducing the concept of constraint effect and correlation index of curve-fitting, combining with the birth policy of China, the model has been established to estimate the birth number with time-varying restriction strategy. It has been quantified to investigate the restrictive function of birth policy on birth rate, which will help to provide the theoretical basis for making more reasonable birth policies.
Keywords :
Lyapunov methods; correlation theory; curve fitting; demography; normal distribution; random processes; Lyapunov theory; birth number estimation; birth policy; birth population estimation; birth rate; childbearing age; constraint effect; correlation index; curve fitting; female population density; normal distribution; random variable; time varying restriction strategy; Abstracts; Educational institutions; Electronic mail; Fitting; Gaussian distribution; Sociology; Statistics; Birth rate; Goodness-fit; Normal Distribution; Restriction Strategy; Time Varying;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Control Conference (CCC), 2012 31st Chinese
Conference_Location :
Hefei
ISSN :
1934-1768
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2581-3
Type :
conf
Filename :
6390655
Link To Document :
بازگشت