Title :
Improving Short-term load forecasting for a local energy storage system
Author :
Vonk, B.M.J. ; Nguyen, P.H. ; Grond, Marinus O. W. ; Slootweg, I.G. ; Kling, W.L.
Author_Institution :
Electr. Energy Syst. Group, Eindhoven Univ. of Technol., Eindhoven, Netherlands
Abstract :
Short-term load forecasting is a crucial step for proper operation of a battery energy storage system. In this paper, an artificial neural network forecaster is used for hourly based forecasting of the distributed power generation and load consumption. This paper focusses on using mutual information for the selection of training data for the artificial neural network models of the forecaster. The proposed approach reduces the forecasting error, especially after transients in the input-output mapping. Simulations with real data sets are executed to verify the effectiveness of the method.
Keywords :
battery storage plants; distributed power generation; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; artificial neural network forecaster model; battery energy storage system; distributed power generation; error forecasting; input-output mapping; load consumption; local energy storage system; mutual information; short-term load forecasting; Artificial neural networks; Entropy; Input variables; Meteorology; Mutual information; Training; Training data; Power distribution; demand forecasting; input variables; mutual information; neural networks; smart grids;
Conference_Titel :
Universities Power Engineering Conference (UPEC), 2012 47th International
Conference_Location :
London
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2854-8
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2855-5
DOI :
10.1109/UPEC.2012.6398581