DocumentCode
588863
Title
Application of Improved Logarithm Logistic Models in Population Prediction
Author
Bin Li ; Tianfei Wang ; Liping Jia
Author_Institution
Lab. of Intell. Inf. Process. & Applic., Leshan Normal Univ., Leshan, China
fYear
2012
fDate
17-18 Nov. 2012
Firstpage
99
Lastpage
102
Abstract
In this paper, improved Logistic models are given, which are called Logarithm Logistic Models. Based on U.S. Census data, the parameters of the models were estimated by applying the Least Squares Method. The experiments show that the prediction value of the new models is much closer to the actual value than the classical Logistic model. Finally, through analyzing the rationality of the maximum population capacity, the trend of Logistic curves and the rationality of prediction value, the most appropriate model is recommended.
Keywords
demography; least squares approximations; prediction theory; classical logistic model; improved logarithm logistic models; least squares method; logistic curves; maximum population capacity; population prediction; prediction value rationality; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Logistics; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Sociology; Statistics; growth rate; logarithm logistic model; logistic model; population prediction;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Computational Intelligence and Security (CIS), 2012 Eighth International Conference on
Conference_Location
Guangzhou
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-4725-9
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CIS.2012.30
Filename
6405875
Link To Document