• DocumentCode
    588863
  • Title

    Application of Improved Logarithm Logistic Models in Population Prediction

  • Author

    Bin Li ; Tianfei Wang ; Liping Jia

  • Author_Institution
    Lab. of Intell. Inf. Process. & Applic., Leshan Normal Univ., Leshan, China
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    17-18 Nov. 2012
  • Firstpage
    99
  • Lastpage
    102
  • Abstract
    In this paper, improved Logistic models are given, which are called Logarithm Logistic Models. Based on U.S. Census data, the parameters of the models were estimated by applying the Least Squares Method. The experiments show that the prediction value of the new models is much closer to the actual value than the classical Logistic model. Finally, through analyzing the rationality of the maximum population capacity, the trend of Logistic curves and the rationality of prediction value, the most appropriate model is recommended.
  • Keywords
    demography; least squares approximations; prediction theory; classical logistic model; improved logarithm logistic models; least squares method; logistic curves; maximum population capacity; population prediction; prediction value rationality; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Logistics; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Sociology; Statistics; growth rate; logarithm logistic model; logistic model; population prediction;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computational Intelligence and Security (CIS), 2012 Eighth International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Guangzhou
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-4725-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/CIS.2012.30
  • Filename
    6405875