Title :
Bayesian quickest detection with observation-changepoint feedback
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Stat. & Appl. Probability, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, USA
Abstract :
We study Bayesian quickest detection problems where the observations and the underlying change-point are coupled. This setup supersedes classical models that assume independence of the two. We develop several continuous-time formulations of this problem for the cases of Poissonian and Brownian sensors. Our approach to detection uses methods of nonlinear filtering and optimal stopping and lends itself to an efficient numerical scheme that combines particle filtering with Monte Carlo dynamic programming. The developed models and algorithms are illustrated with numerical examples.
Keywords :
Bayes methods; Monte Carlo methods; dynamic programming; nonlinear filters; particle filtering (numerical methods); sensors; signal detection; stochastic processes; Bayesian quickest detection problems; Brownian sensors; Monte Carlo dynamic programming; Poissonian sensors; classical models; continuous-time formulations; nonlinear filtering; numerical scheme; observation-changepoint feedback; optimal stopping; particle filtering; Approximation methods; Bayesian methods; Hazards; Monte Carlo methods; Numerical models; Stochastic processes; Yttrium; Bayesian Quickest Detection; Hawkes Process; Monte Carlo Dynamic Programming; Particle Filtering;
Conference_Titel :
Decision and Control (CDC), 2012 IEEE 51st Annual Conference on
Conference_Location :
Maui, HI
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2065-8
Electronic_ISBN :
0743-1546
DOI :
10.1109/CDC.2012.6425853