• DocumentCode
    597375
  • Title

    Calibration of a decision-making process in a simulation model by a bicriteria optimization problem

  • Author

    Azcarate, C. ; Mallor, F. ; Barado, J.

  • Author_Institution
    Public Univ. of Navarre, Pamplona, Spain
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    9-12 Dec. 2012
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    10
  • Abstract
    In a previous paper, we developed an accurate simulation model of an Intensive Care Unit to study bed occupancy level (BOL). By means of accurate statistical analysis we were able to fit models to arrivals and length-of-stay of patients. We model doctors´ patient discharge decisions and define a set of rules to determine the conditions for earlier or delayed discharge of certain patients, according to BOL. For the calibration of the rule parameters, we proposed a nonlinear stochastic optimization problem aimed at matching the model outputs with the real system outputs. In this paper, we improve the calibration of the rule parameters by including the principle of “minimum medical intervention” as a second objective function. We replace the previous objective function with a satisficing matching, in order to gain more degrees of freedom in the search for better rules according to the new objective.
  • Keywords
    calibration; decision making; health care; nonlinear programming; patient care; pattern matching; simulation; statistical analysis; stochastic programming; BOL; bed occupancy level; bicriteria optimization problem; decision making process calibration; delayed discharge; doctor patient discharge decision model; earlier discharge; intensive care unit; minimum medical intervention; model outputs; nonlinear stochastic optimization problem; real system outputs; rule parameter calibration; simulation model; statistical analysis; Calibration; Computational modeling; Data models; Discharges (electric); Load modeling; Medical services; Optimization;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2012 Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Berlin
  • ISSN
    0891-7736
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-4779-2
  • Electronic_ISBN
    0891-7736
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2012.6465078
  • Filename
    6465078