DocumentCode
597375
Title
Calibration of a decision-making process in a simulation model by a bicriteria optimization problem
Author
Azcarate, C. ; Mallor, F. ; Barado, J.
Author_Institution
Public Univ. of Navarre, Pamplona, Spain
fYear
2012
fDate
9-12 Dec. 2012
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
10
Abstract
In a previous paper, we developed an accurate simulation model of an Intensive Care Unit to study bed occupancy level (BOL). By means of accurate statistical analysis we were able to fit models to arrivals and length-of-stay of patients. We model doctors´ patient discharge decisions and define a set of rules to determine the conditions for earlier or delayed discharge of certain patients, according to BOL. For the calibration of the rule parameters, we proposed a nonlinear stochastic optimization problem aimed at matching the model outputs with the real system outputs. In this paper, we improve the calibration of the rule parameters by including the principle of “minimum medical intervention” as a second objective function. We replace the previous objective function with a satisficing matching, in order to gain more degrees of freedom in the search for better rules according to the new objective.
Keywords
calibration; decision making; health care; nonlinear programming; patient care; pattern matching; simulation; statistical analysis; stochastic programming; BOL; bed occupancy level; bicriteria optimization problem; decision making process calibration; delayed discharge; doctor patient discharge decision model; earlier discharge; intensive care unit; minimum medical intervention; model outputs; nonlinear stochastic optimization problem; real system outputs; rule parameter calibration; simulation model; statistical analysis; Calibration; Computational modeling; Data models; Discharges (electric); Load modeling; Medical services; Optimization;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2012 Winter
Conference_Location
Berlin
ISSN
0891-7736
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-4779-2
Electronic_ISBN
0891-7736
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2012.6465078
Filename
6465078
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