DocumentCode
631107
Title
An optimizer of Grey-Genetic Algorithms to improve the prediction efficiency for Taiwan import and export pollution
Author
Chen-Fang Tsai
Author_Institution
Dept. of Ind. Manage. & Enterprise Inf., Aletheia Univ., Taipei, Taiwan
fYear
2013
fDate
27-29 June 2013
Firstpage
627
Lastpage
632
Abstract
This study proposes an optimal controller of Grey-Genetic Algorithms (GGA) to improve the prediction efficiency of grey theory models (GM). In this research, we design the different experimental schemes for the improving efficiency of the prediction models. The simple model (GM(1, 1)) and multiple model (GM(1,N)) are applied in the short-lifecycle product prediction system that was presented and evaluated on their performances. These models GM(1,1); GM(1, N); RGM(1, 1); and RGM(1,N) are selected and simulated with those of the import and export data from Taiwan´s import & export manufacturers. The experimental results show that the optimal controller can improve the prediction accuracy of GM models. This controller mechanism of GGA´s model also offers the more effective simulation alternatives for increasing prediction accuracy by this proposed controller.
Keywords
forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; grey systems; international trade; optimal control; pollution; prediction theory; GGA model; GM models; Taiwan export manufacturers; Taiwan export pollution; Taiwan import manufacturers; Taiwan import pollution; grey theory models; grey-genetic algorithms; optimal controller; prediction efficiency; short-lifecycle product prediction system; Accuracy; Biological system modeling; Data models; Forecasting; Industries; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Forecasting Model; Genetic Algorithms; Grey Theory;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Computer Supported Cooperative Work in Design (CSCWD), 2013 IEEE 17th International Conference on
Conference_Location
Whistler, BC
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-6084-5
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CSCWD.2013.6581033
Filename
6581033
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