Title :
Simulation and analysis of stochastic signals using the Kolmogorov-Feller equation
Author :
Blackledge, J. ; Lamphiere, Marc ; Panahi, A.
Author_Institution :
Comput. Finance Res. Group, Dublin Inst. of Technol., Dublin, Ireland
Abstract :
We consider a Green´s function solution to the Classical Kolmogorov-Feller Equation which requires an iterative approach for which a sufficient convergence condition is derived. The solution obtained is applied to the simulation of signals whose spectral properties are determined by a Characteristic Function of the form k -q where k is the spatial frequency and q is the `Fourier Dimension´. Using example macroeconomic financial time series (FTSE Close-of-Day and the Dow Jones Industrial Average), correlations are observed to exist between q and long term trends in the series using a standard moving window process. This result provides the potential for developing an accurate short term forecasting strategy.
Keywords :
Fourier analysis; Green´s function methods; correlation methods; iterative methods; signal processing; spectral analysis; stochastic processes; Dow Jones industrial average; FTSE close-of-day; Fourier dimension; Green function solution; Kolmogorov-Feller equation; characteristic function; correlation; iterative approach; macroeconomic financial time series; short term forecasting strategy; spatial frequency; spectral property; standard moving window process; stochastic signal analysis; stochastic signal simulation; sufficient convergence condition; Stochastic signal modelling; financial time series analysis; the Kolmogorov-Feller equation;
Conference_Titel :
Signals and Systems Conference (ISSC 2012), IET Irish
Conference_Location :
Maynooth
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-84919-613-0
DOI :
10.1049/ic.2012.0168