• DocumentCode
    641025
  • Title

    Short-term electric load forecasting using computational intelligence methods

  • Author

    Jurado, Sergio ; Peralta, J. ; Nebot, Angela ; Mugica, Francisco ; Cortez, Paulo

  • Author_Institution
    Sensing & Control Syst., Barcelona, Spain
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    7-10 July 2013
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    8
  • Abstract
    Accurate time series forecasting is a key issue to support individual and organizational decision making. In this paper, we introduce several methods for short-term electric load forecasting. All the presented methods stem from computational intelligence techniques: Random Forest, Nonlinear Autoregressive Neural Networks, Evolutionary Support Vector Machines and Fuzzy Inductive Reasoning. The performance of the suggested methods is experimentally justified with several experiments carried out, using a set of three time series from electricity consumption in the real-world domain, on different forecasting horizons.
  • Keywords
    autoregressive processes; fuzzy reasoning; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; regression analysis; support vector machines; time series; SVM; computational intelligence methods; electricity consumption; evolutionary support vector machines; forecasting horizons; fuzzy inductive reasoning; individual decision making; nonlinear autoregressive neural networks; organizational decision making; random forest; real-world domain; short-term electric load forecasting; time series forecasting; Data models; Electricity; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Time series analysis; Artificial Neural Networks; Evolutionary Computation; Forecast; Random Forest; Support Vector Machines; Time Series;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ), 2013 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Hyderabad
  • ISSN
    1098-7584
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-0020-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/FUZZ-IEEE.2013.6622523
  • Filename
    6622523