DocumentCode :
641025
Title :
Short-term electric load forecasting using computational intelligence methods
Author :
Jurado, Sergio ; Peralta, J. ; Nebot, Angela ; Mugica, Francisco ; Cortez, Paulo
Author_Institution :
Sensing & Control Syst., Barcelona, Spain
fYear :
2013
fDate :
7-10 July 2013
Firstpage :
1
Lastpage :
8
Abstract :
Accurate time series forecasting is a key issue to support individual and organizational decision making. In this paper, we introduce several methods for short-term electric load forecasting. All the presented methods stem from computational intelligence techniques: Random Forest, Nonlinear Autoregressive Neural Networks, Evolutionary Support Vector Machines and Fuzzy Inductive Reasoning. The performance of the suggested methods is experimentally justified with several experiments carried out, using a set of three time series from electricity consumption in the real-world domain, on different forecasting horizons.
Keywords :
autoregressive processes; fuzzy reasoning; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; regression analysis; support vector machines; time series; SVM; computational intelligence methods; electricity consumption; evolutionary support vector machines; forecasting horizons; fuzzy inductive reasoning; individual decision making; nonlinear autoregressive neural networks; organizational decision making; random forest; real-world domain; short-term electric load forecasting; time series forecasting; Data models; Electricity; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Time series analysis; Artificial Neural Networks; Evolutionary Computation; Forecast; Random Forest; Support Vector Machines; Time Series;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ), 2013 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hyderabad
ISSN :
1098-7584
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-0020-6
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/FUZZ-IEEE.2013.6622523
Filename :
6622523
Link To Document :
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