Title :
Self-adapt evolution SVR in a traffic flow forecasting
Author :
Cai Lei ; Qu Shiru ; Li Xun
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Autom. Control, Northwestern Polytech. Univ., Xian, China
Abstract :
This paper proposes a self-adapt evolution support vector regression (SaDE-SVR) in order to improve the performance of traffic flow forecasting. By incorporating the Self-adapt differential evolution algorithm, the parameters of SVR are optimized during the training phase. Additionally, a numerical example of traffic flow data from Xi´an is used to evaluate the performance of the proposed method. The experiment has shown that the proposed SaDE-SVR can achieve the better accuracy without any manually choosing generation and control parameters. It provides an alternative method for traffic flow forecasting.
Keywords :
regression analysis; signal processing; support vector machines; telecommunication traffic; Xian; differential evolution algorithm; self-adapt evolution SVR; support vector regression; traffic flow data; traffic flow forecasting; training phase; Accuracy; Forecasting; Predictive models; Sociology; Statistics; Support vector machines; Vectors; Self-adapt differential evolution; Support vector regretssion; Traffic flow forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Signal Processing, Communication and Computing (ICSPCC), 2013 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
KunMing
DOI :
10.1109/ICSPCC.2013.6663976