Title :
Predicting freight with fuzzy granular computing and support vector machine model
Author :
Ye Li ; Yan Chen ; Xiaodong Liu
Author_Institution :
Transp. Manage. Coll., Dalian Maritime Univ., Dalian, China
Abstract :
To improve the precision and reliability in predicting freight, we have proposed a forecasting model based on the fuzzy granular information and support vector (SVM) and regression machine. For the forecasting model, the freight can be considered as a nonlinear time series and the time series analysis method is adopted to predict the change in freight using SVM regression. Due to a large and nonlinear data, the granular information is adopted to divide the data into three segments, and each segment is predicted.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; goods dispatch data processing; granular computing; precision engineering; regression analysis; reliability; support vector machines; time series; SVM regression; forecasting model; freight prediction; fuzzy granular computing; fuzzy granular information; nonlinear data; nonlinear time series analysis method; support vector regression machine model; Computational modeling; Data models; Educational institutions; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Time series analysis; Training; freight; fuzzy granular computing; support vector machine; time series;
Conference_Titel :
Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering (ICIII), 2013 6th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Xi´an
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-3985-5
DOI :
10.1109/ICIII.2013.6703573