Title :
Load forecasting for power system planning using a genetic-fuzzy-neural networks approach
Author_Institution :
Electr. & Comput. Eng. Dept., Univ. of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates
Abstract :
Prediction of future load demand is important for secure operation of power systems and their economical utilization. A number of algorithms have been suggested for solving this problem. In this paper, a genetic-fuzzy-neural networks approach for mid-term load forecasting is proposed. In this paper the relationship between humidity, temperature and load is identified with a case study for a particular region in Oman. The output load obtained is corrected using a correction factor from neural networks model, which depends on previous set of loads. Data for monthly peak load of four years has been used for training the model, which then forecasts the load of the fifth year. The model has been validated using actual data from an electricity company.
Keywords :
atmospheric humidity; atmospheric temperature; fuzzy logic; genetic algorithms; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; power system planning; atmospheric humidity; atmospheric temperature; economical utilization; genetic fuzzy neural network; midterm load forecasting; power system load; power system planning; Fuzzy logic; Humidity; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Neural networks; Optimization; Predictive models; Load forecasting; fuzzy logic; genetic optimization; neural networks;
Conference_Titel :
GCC Conference and Exhibition (GCC), 2013 7th IEEE
Conference_Location :
Doha
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-0722-9
DOI :
10.1109/IEEEGCC.2013.6705746