DocumentCode :
677679
Title :
Could simulation optimization have prevented 2012 central Florida election lines?
Author :
Jingsheng Li ; Allen, Tandra T. ; Akah, Kimiebi
Author_Institution :
Digital Manuf. Res. Lab., Beijing Inst. of Technol., Beijing, China
fYear :
2013
fDate :
8-11 Dec. 2013
Firstpage :
2088
Lastpage :
2096
Abstract :
In this article, we attempt to simulate the election lines in four central Florida counties in the 2012 presidential election. To do this, we estimate the numbers of booths at all locations and the service times using data about poll closing times and numbers of ballot items at all 479 locations. Then, we investigate the relevance of an optimization formulation in which the maximum expected waiting time at all locations is minimized by reapportioning voting booth resources. We solve the formulation using a heuristic from the literature and (tentatively) conclude that, according to our estimates and assumptions, none of the locations would have been expected to close after 9:50 pm if simulation optimization had been applied to allocate voting booths. Further, our model indicates that, by applying simulation optimization compared with proportional allocation, the expected latest poll closing time reduces from approximately 6.8 hours to less than 2.5 hours after closing time.
Keywords :
government; minimax techniques; minimisation; politics; simulation; ballot items; central Florida election lines; maximum expected waiting time; optimization formulation; poll closing times; presidential election; simulation optimization; voting booth resource allocation; Abstracts; Modeling; Nominations and elections; Optimization; Predictive models; Resource management;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference (WSC), 2013 Winter
Conference_Location :
Washington, DC
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-2077-8
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2013.6721586
Filename :
6721586
Link To Document :
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