DocumentCode :
693938
Title :
Modeling Multiple Locations Defence and Attack Dynamic Bayesian Decision Game
Author :
Julei Fu ; Zhenpeng Li ; Duoyong Sun ; Wenli Liu
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Inf. Syst. & Manage., Nat. Univ. of Defense Technol., Changsha, China
fYear :
2013
fDate :
14-16 Nov. 2013
Firstpage :
449
Lastpage :
453
Abstract :
Traditional game theory for modeling strategies of attacker and defender are static or discrete, such models do not adequately address real world situation in which the attackers´ investments or strategies are dynamic, so do the defenders´. By contrast, risk analysis generally neglects the fact that terrorists are intelligent and adaptive, and can observe our defenses and adapt their strategies accordingly. Considering both aspects of real world circumstances, with the motivation that adequately reflect both the adaptive nature of terrorist threats and the structures of the systems to be defended, this paper presents a new model based on states space dynamic changing, Bayesian decision making, risk states continuous evolution and intelligence information collection.
Keywords :
Bayes methods; game theory; Bayesian decision making; attack dynamic Bayesian decision game; attackers investment; game theory; intelligence information collection; modeling multiple locations defence; real world situation; risk analysis; risk states continuous evolution; states space dynamic changing; terrorist threats; Bayes methods; Decision making; Educational institutions; Games; Investment; Resource management; Terrorism; Bayesian decision; game theory; risk analysis;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering (BIFE), 2013 Sixth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hangzhou
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-4778-2
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/BIFE.2013.95
Filename :
6961175
Link To Document :
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