• DocumentCode
    694759
  • Title

    Commodity Futures Price Prediction and Trading Strategies -- A Signal Noise Difference Approach

  • Author

    Jinhao Zheng ; Shoukang Peng

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Finance, Zhejiang Gongshang Univ., Hangzhou, China
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    7-8 Dec. 2013
  • Firstpage
    411
  • Lastpage
    417
  • Abstract
    This paper introduces the signal noise difference method and applies this method into the commodity futures price prediction. Based on the prediction rules mined from the data of 25 potential prediction indicators of SHFE CU, a corresponding transaction strategy is established. And we use the market data from 2009 to 2013 to test our transaction strategy, which obtains a result of 147.85% annual yield. In addition, several improvements are discussed to optimize this model.
  • Keywords
    commodity trading; pricing; SHFE CU; commodity futures price prediction; signal noise difference approach; trading strategies; transaction strategy; Contracts; Copper; Data models; Indexes; Market research; Noise; Predictive models; data mining; price prediction; shfe cu; signal noise difference;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Science and Cloud Computing Companion (ISCC-C), 2013 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Guangzhou
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ISCC-C.2013.60
  • Filename
    6973627