• DocumentCode
    720285
  • Title

    A theory of complexity escalation and collapse for system of systems

  • Author

    Bradley, Joseph ; Efatmaneshnik, Mahmoud ; Rajabalinejad, Mohammad

  • Author_Institution
    Leading Change, LLC, Virginia Beach, VA, USA
  • fYear
    2015
  • fDate
    17-20 May 2015
  • Firstpage
    7
  • Lastpage
    11
  • Abstract
    In this paper we urge the creation of new managerial tools and techniques that are relevant to the complexity of today´s system of systems (SOS). Normal modes of command and control systems cannot be effective under conditions where new constraints are added on a recurrent basis to the system of systems in response to emergent problems within the systems due to increased coupling introduced in component elements of the SOS. We present a first-step understanding of why unanticipated failures find more potential and more pathways to their occurrence when interventions in SOS operations, standards or processes are conducted without enough insight and without a care for basic laws of complexity. We then demonstrate a condition where the incremental changes actually lead to failure of the SOS to meet its performance parameters. We hope that this work set the foundation for exploring the effects of coupling across hierarchical levels of SOS.
  • Keywords
    failure analysis; reliability theory; systems engineering; SOS; command and control systems; complexity collapse theory; complexity escalation theory; hierarchical levels; managerial tools; performance parameters; system of systems; Complexity theory; Couplings; Organizations; Standards organizations; Systems engineering and theory; Uncertainty; Welding; Complexity; Coupling; Failure Propagation; SOSE;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    System of Systems Engineering Conference (SoSE), 2015 10th
  • Conference_Location
    San Antonio, TX
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/SYSOSE.2015.7151958
  • Filename
    7151958