DocumentCode :
728450
Title :
Effects of linear feedback trading in an interactive market model
Author :
Baumann, Michael Heinrich
Author_Institution :
Fac. of Math., Phys. & Comput. Sci., Univ. of Bayreuth, Bayreuth, Germany
fYear :
2015
fDate :
1-3 July 2015
Firstpage :
3880
Lastpage :
3885
Abstract :
In the literature a lot of articles about so-called feedback-based trading strategies, i.e., strategies that compute investment exclusively from their own gain exist. Price is therein treated as a disturbance variable in the technical application. With these strategies, astonishing results may be shown. However, the so-called price taker property is always assumed, that means that one´s own trading does not affect the price, which is quite unrealistic. In the work at hand, an interactive and thus more realistic market model is introduced which is completely determined by the traders´ decisions. In this market model, distinct groups of traders can interact, e.g., feedback traders and noise traders, as they are considered to be relevant in economics in explaining real market prices. Furthermore, this interactive market model is a natural generalization of the geometric Brownian motion. Of course the model has to be bubble-prone to be realistic. The market model will be analyzed as well as the effects of linear feedback strategies and trading restrictions on the price. A way to calculate thresholds for the parameters to cause bubbles is provided. To conclude the work, backtesting on real market data is performed.
Keywords :
Brownian motion; economics; investment; pricing; economics; feedback traders; feedback-based trading strategies; geometric Brownian motion; interactive market model; investment; linear feedback trading; noise traders; price taker property; Adaptive control; Analytical models; Computational modeling; Investment; Mathematical model; Noise; Noise measurement;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
American Control Conference (ACC), 2015
Conference_Location :
Chicago, IL
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-8685-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ACC.2015.7171935
Filename :
7171935
Link To Document :
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