DocumentCode :
737057
Title :
The Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on the Neural Network of Logistic Mapping Phase Space Reconstruction
Author :
Yajun, Han ; Xiaoqiang, Yang
fYear :
2015
fDate :
13-14 June 2015
Firstpage :
1287
Lastpage :
1290
Abstract :
It is difficult to be accurately predicted for wind power generation´s random, intermittent and volatility. According to the strong chaotic characteristics of wind speed, the optimal time delay and embedding dimensions of wind speed are determined by using a short-term prediction of phase space reconstruction theory. After the sample space is reconstructed, the short-term wind speed is carried out by BP neural network. The experimental results show that the higher forecasting accuracy of short-term power generation can be obtained.
Keywords :
Correlation; Delays; Forecasting; Logistics; Neural networks; Time series analysis; Wind speed; BP neural network; Phase space reconstruction; complex self-correlation method; false zero method; wind speed forecast;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Measuring Technology and Mechatronics Automation (ICMTMA), 2015 Seventh International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanchang, China
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-7142-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMTMA.2015.314
Filename :
7263810
Link To Document :
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